Varvara Gracheva vs Hailey Baptiste Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second serve performance shows Baptiste slightly leading with 44.1% in recent contests, compared to Gracheva's 40.14%.
• Gracheva has excelled in return game stats, winning 51.39% of second serve return points, while Baptiste stands at 47.83%.
• Gracheva also leads in first serve return points with 33.33% against Baptiste's 29.35%.
• What about handling pressure? Baptiste has a stronger breakpoint save rate at 56.51%, compared to Gracheva's 49.28%.
• Recent performance over the past year indicates Baptiste has a higher match win rate at 61.02%, whereas Gracheva's is at 47.06%.
• Both players perform best on clay but equally have lower success rates on grass surfaces.
• Baptiste has primarily competed in Masters series, achieving a 68% win rate which compares favorably to Gracheva's 35.29% on the Main tour.
• Head-to-head, they are tied at 1-1, having split the four sets they've contested.
• Matches have averaged a length of 1:7:11, with no previous deciding sets or tiebreaks between them.
• Gracheva has faced higher-ranked opponents with an average rank of 116.25, compared to Baptiste's 167.05.
• If a match goes to a deciding set, Baptiste has a notable edge having won 57% of such sets in the past year, versus Gracheva's 38%.
• In terms of converting breakpoints, Gracheva holds a slight advantage at 37.66%, compared to Baptiste's 34.76%.

Editorial Prediction (May 15, 2025, UTC):

Both players are evenly matched in various aspects, leading to a split head-to-head record. Baptiste excels in second serve performance, pressure handling, and has a higher match win rate over the last year, which suggests a psychological and performance edge.

Meanwhile, Gracheva demonstrates strong return capabilities, especially on the first serve. She also has marginally higher breakpoint conversion efficiency, which could be crucial during pivotal moments in the match.

However, considering their surface preferences and recent form stats, Baptiste's ability to handle pressure and win deciding sets may tilt the balance in her favor. Therefore, Baptiste is predicted to be the likely winner of this upcoming match.